The Cash Flow Projector builds a 10-year discounted-cash-flow projection model for any US-listed public stock in seconds. This page describes exactly how the underlying engine works so analysts can audit and trust every number.
Historical financials. All historical statements are sourced directly from the SEC's EDGAR XBRL filings (10-K and 10-Q). We map each XBRL concept (Revenues, GrossProfit, OperatingIncomeLoss, NetIncomeLoss, Assets, StockholdersEquity, etc.) to a normalized line item, then build the income statement, cash flow statement, and balance sheet for the past ten fiscal years.
Wall Street consensus. Forward revenue, EBITDA, and EPS estimates are triangulated across three independent sources — Yahoo Finance, NASDAQ, and StockAnalysis. We surface the cross-source dispersion as a coefficient of variation (σ) so you can see when analysts disagree. The displayed baseline is the simple mean of the three sources.
Projection math. Revenue is grown forward using a multi-model approach (Wall Street near-term + analyst long-term growth + terminal fade to a sector-appropriate steady-state rate). Margins and capital-intensity ratios follow a μ ± 1σ fade toward historical means. EPS is derived through a DuPont-reconciled net income waterfall with share-count evolution driven by the capital allocation engine.
AI Event Factors. For each ticker we pull recent Google News and StockTwits coverage, cluster the discussion into the top 10 themes using OpenAI, estimate a baseline market-implied probability and EPS impact magnitude per theme, and let you override the probabilities with sliders. The combined event-factor overlay applies only to the next 12 months of EPS.
Balance sheet integrity. Every projection enforces the accounting identity (Assets = Liabilities + Equity) via a balancing plug, with PP&E floored at a minimum of (Revenue / asset-turnover-target), DuPont decomposition reconciled, and the cash-flow statement closed against the change in cash.
Industry peer benchmarking. Peer medians and quartiles are pre-computed from EDGAR XBRL frames for every SIC bucket at four hierarchy levels (4-digit through 1-digit), refreshed quarterly. Each ratio on the Ratios tab displays a p10–p90 percentile bar showing where the company sits versus its industry peers.
Substantive feedback, methodology critique, and bug reports are welcome — see the contact link on the homepage.